Rudd stuffed? Not if history is any guide.

BEWARE the polls of June. Polling in June is a poor guide to who will win an election due at the end of the year.

In three of our past four election years, the party leading in the polls in June ended up losing the election later that year. And in every case, the victim was the (Labor) opposition.

In those four years, between our Age/Nielsen poll in June and the outcome on election day, on average the Howard government picked up 5.5 percentage points in support in two-party terms.

via www.theage.com.au

I do like it when a journalist stops behaving like a goldfish in a bowl and looks at current events in a broader context. Pity most of them never do.